Denis Shapovalov Favored to Win Against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in ATP Swiss Indoors Quarterfinals

Denis Shapovalov is predicted to emerge victorious in his quarterfinal match against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at the ATP Swiss Indoors tournament in Basel, Switzerland. The match, scheduled for Friday, October 25, 2024, at 1:20 PM ET, pits two players with distinct recent performances against each other.

According to Dimers‘ tennis model, which simulated the match 10,000 times, Denis Shapovalov has a 58% chance of winning, while Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has a 42% chance. Shapovalov is also favored to win the first set with a 56% probability.

Shapovalov, who has been recovering from a serious knee injury, has shown promising form in the tournament. He recently defeated Roberto Bautista Agut in 101 minutes, marking a significant win. His indoor court performance, particularly his victory in the Stockholm tournament, adds to his favorable prospects.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, on the other hand, has had an inconsistent run. Despite recent improvements and a notable win over Felix Auger-Aliassime, his technique and lack of experience remain significant challenges. Perricard has had two series of four consecutive defeats in recent months but has shown the ability to deliver occasional surprises.

The betting odds reflect Shapovalov’s favoritism, with moneyline odds of -189 for Shapovalov and +150 for Mpetshi Perricard. The match is expected to be closely contested, with predictions suggesting it may go beyond straight sets due to the players’ strong serving games and relatively weak return games.

This match marks the first encounter between Mpetshi Perricard and Shapovalov in their careers, adding an element of unpredictability to the quarterfinals of the ATP Basel event.