Holger Rune Faces Flavio Cobolli in Madrid ATP Showdown

Madrid, Spain – Holger Rune of Denmark will take on Italy’s Flavio Cobolli in a highly anticipated matchup at the ATP Madrid Open on Friday, April 25, 2025, scheduled to begin at 2:10 PM ET. Rune, ranked ninth in the world, seeks to advance to the third round after a strong start to the season, including a title win in Barcelona.

Rune, 21, has shown impressive form this year, notably reaching the finals at the Miami Open, while illness hindered his performance at Monte Carlo. Meanwhile, Cobolli, 22, who is currently ranked just inside the top 40, is looking to make a statement after a title win in Bucharest.

The match marks the second encounter between the two players, with Rune narrowly winning their previous clash at the 2024 French Open. Rune edged out Cobolli in a five-set battle that showcased both players’ resilience and skill. Rune’s solid form has made him the favorite going into Friday’s match, with predictions giving him a 62% chance of winning.

Greg Butyn, a data analyst for Dimers, noted, “After simulating the match 10,000 times, Rune is favored to win with a 62% probability.” Cobolli’s chances are estimated at 38%, making it a pivotal match for both players.

Fans can watch the match live on Sky Sports Tennis in the UK and Tennis Channel in the US, with online streaming available via Sky Go and Tennis Channel’s website. The match will be played on outdoor clay at Park Manzanares, a surface where both players have displayed great potential.

As the tournament progresses, Rune aims to leverage his current momentum to secure a place in the next round. The outcome of this match is expected to be a thrilling contest between two talented young players.