Joe Ryan’s Fastball Emerges as MLB’s Most Valuable Pitch in 2025

MINNEAPOLIS, MN — Joe Ryan‘s four-seam fastball is making waves in Major League Baseball this season, showcasing its value despite a slight drop in velocity. In 2025, Ryan’s fastball has a +12 run value, ranking him second in the league, behind Houston‘s ace. The pitch has become a cornerstone of his arsenal, as opponents are hitting just .168 against it.

Last season, batters managed a modest .193 average and a .378 slugging percentage off Ryan’s fastball. This season, the decreased batting performance underscores the effectiveness of his pitch, as Ryan leverages his unique arm angle and impressive spin rate to deceive hitters.

After criticism for overusing his fastball early in his career, Ryan has strategically shifted his focus to secondary pitches in previous seasons. However, 2025 has seen him revert to a heavier reliance on his fastball, throwing it 56.4% of the time compared to less than 50% the previous season. This adjustment has resulted in improved performance metrics, including a whiff rate of 28.5%.

Interestingly, Ryan’s fastball velocity has dipped to an average of 93.1 mph this season, down from 94.0 in the previous year. This decrease may be a calculated move, as Ryan dealt with a shoulder issue last season. Nevertheless, his arm angle adjustment from 26° to 24° has generated 5.0 inches more horizontal movement this year.

Ryan’s non-fastball pitches, including a sweeper and a split-finger, also contribute to his success. His sweeper, particularly effective this season, has a whiff percentage of 40.7% and complements his fastball brilliantly.

The effectiveness of Ryan’s fastball challenges the notion that velocity is everything in pitching. His strategic usage, deceptive mechanics, and meticulous command highlight the skill and artistry involved. Whether Ryan’s fastball is among the best in baseball is a debate that continues as he refines his craft and solidifies his role as a pivotal player for the Minnesota Twins this season.