Liverpool vs. Southampton: Underdogs Face Dismal Odds in Premier League Clash

LIVERPOOL, England – Liverpool, the Premier League title contender, prepares to host relegation-threatened Southampton on Saturday, March 8, 2025. Liverpool sits at the top of the league table with 67 points, while Southampton languishes at the bottom with only 9 points.

The match is anticipated to be a one-sided affair, with Liverpool heavily favored at odds of 2/15, while Southampton’s odds sit at a steep 20/1 for an upset. Despite the lopsided odds, there are analytical angles to consider for betting enthusiasts looking to capitalize on hidden opportunities.

Recent statistics show Southampton struggling defensively this season, with the league’s worst expected goal differential. They allow an average of 6.22 corners per game, while Liverpool is more resolute, giving up only 4.04. This statistically suggests that there may be value in placing bets on the total number of corners, anticipated to be under 10.5.

Following a grueling Champions League victory against Paris Saint-Germain earlier in the week, Liverpool’s intense 1-0 win may affect their overall energy levels against Southampton. Arne Slot‘s squad could prioritize conserving energy, impacting their aggressive pressing game that typically leads to corner kick opportunities.

In their last meeting, Southampton managed only three corners in a narrow 3-2 loss against Liverpool. Should Liverpool score early, it could lead to a passive approach, maintaining possession rather than pushing relentlessly for more goals.

A clean sheet for Liverpool may yield favorable odds, currently sitting at 11/10. Although goalkeeping standout Alisson Becker secured a crucial clean sheet against PSG, Southampton may not pose the same threat. Previous matches saw Liverpool conceding a mere 1.4 expected goals across three contests leading up to the PSG game.

Betting on the specific scorelines presents another intriguing opportunity. Liverpool’s potential to win by a margin of 1-0, 2-0, or 3-0 is priced at 13/5. Alternatively, betting on scorelines of 2-1, 3-1, or 4-1 favors the chances of Southampton finding the net even in defeat, offered at 11/4. This strategy could allow punters to hedge their bets and ensure a profit from varying outcomes.

Saturday’s match provides a narrative of a title favorite versus a relegation hopeful, embroiled in contrasting fortunes. As kickoff approaches, fans and bettors alike are keenly watching for potential upsets and uncovering overlooked betting avenues.

Match officials include Lewis Smith as referee, supported by Video Assistant Referee Matt Donohue, and assistant referees Matt Wilkes and Marc Perry.