Peyton Stearns and Kimberly Birrell Ready for Madrid Open Clash

Madrid, Spain — American tennis player Peyton Stearns is set to face Australia’s Kimberly Birrell in the first round of the WTA Madrid Open on Tuesday, April 22, 2025. The match will take place at the Caja Magica, beginning at 3:05 PM ET.

Stearns, ranked 44th in the world, comes into the match having lost five of her last six encounters on the WTA Tour. Despite her recent struggles, Stearns has a win probability of 68% according to Dimers‘ tennis simulation model that analyzed the match 10,000 times.

“We have incorporated various factors and recent updates into our model, predicting Stearns’ chances of winning at 68% compared to Birrell’s 32%,” said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn. “This indicates a strong likelihood for Stearns to advance.”

Birrell, currently ranked 61st, has had a standout year so far, including a title win at the W75 tournament in Brisbane just two months ago. With a win-loss record of 21-7 in 2025, she has shown resilience and skill on the court.

This match marks the first time both players will meet on the WTA Tour, which adds to the stakes as they each attempt to establish their position in the tournament. The initial betting odds favor Stearns, with a moneyline of -227, while Birrell sits at +175.

Fans eager to watch can find the match broadcasted live, with both players eager for a strong performance on the clay courts of Madrid, historically known for influencing matches due to the high altitude.

As both competitors prepare for their first encounter, Stearns will rely on her powerful groundstrokes, while Birrell will aim to leverage her experience. Stearns is expected to be the favorite going into the match with stronger clay court credentials.

For those wagering on the match, the latest odds indicate a trend favoring Stearns, but as with any sport, the outcome remains uncertain.