Nearly six months after Nancy Guthrie vanished from her Tucson home, a $1.2 million reward remains unclaimed. Retired FBI agent Jason Pack says that points to a very small, tight-knit group responsible.
“That tells me the circle who knows is very small, and whoever is in it is bound by something stronger than money: blood, fear, shared exposure,” Pack told Fox News Digital. “Those bonds hold. Until they don’t.”
Guthrie, the 84-year-old mother of “Today” co-host Savannah Guthrie, was last seen on the evening of January 31, 2026. She had dinner with family, went home, and never made it to church the next morning. Her Nest doorbell camera was found missing, and an armed, masked individual was captured on footage tampering with it.
Pack, a retired FBI supervisory agent and negotiator, believes the abductor or abductors tried to plan the crime but did it poorly. “When it went wrong, and I believe it went wrong fast, they had no plan for that either,” he said. “Everything since reads to me like improvising around a failure, not professionals executing a plan.”
The reward, offered by the family and law enforcement, usually prompts someone to talk. “Money like that usually pulls somebody loose from almost any group. It hasn’t,” Pack noted. Instead, he views the untouched reward as another clue. Cases often break sideways, he explained, when someone gets arrested for something unrelated or a relationship ends badly.
The Pima County Sheriff’s Department, led by Sheriff Chris Nanos, continues the investigation. DNA and digital evidence analysis is still underway, and Nanos remains optimistic. “We have so much DNA to sort through, so much video evidence to look at,” he said in a recent interview.
Pack urged neighbors to check their own security cameras from that period and to consider behavioral changes in people they know. “Somebody who left town. Somebody whose behavior turned in February and never turned back,” he said. “You don’t have to be sure. That’s not your job. Sorting it out is the investigators’ job.”
After 21 years with the FBI, Pack has seen cases break at month eight, month 14, or month 30. He believes this case remains solvable, despite the lack of a break so far. Anyone with information is urged to call 1-800-CALL-FBI or 520-88-CRIME.