NOAA Predicts Above-Normal 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

ATLANTA, May 30, 2025 – The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is predicting an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025, which runs from June 1 to November 30. NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of above-normal activity, fueled by warmer ocean temperatures and favorable wind conditions.

NOAA’s outlook suggests a projected range of 13 to 19 named storms, with six to 10 expected to strengthen into hurricanes. Of those, three to five are anticipated to reach major hurricane status, defined by wind speeds of 111 mph or higher. NOAA has reported a 70% confidence in these predictions.

“The high activity era continues in the Atlantic Basin, featuring high-heat content in the ocean and reduced trade winds,” NOAA stated in the announcement. “The higher heat provides energy for storm development, while weaker winds allow the storms to grow without disruption.”

According to Ken Graham, NOAA’s National Weather Service Director, these predictions are informed by a combination of factors including continued ENSO-neutral conditions and warmer than average ocean temperatures. NOAA urges residents to prepare early, saying, “This outlook is a call to action: be prepared. Take proactive steps now to make a plan and gather supplies to ensure you’re ready before a storm threatens.”

In recent years, hurricane seasons have led to significant damage, including the 2024 season which saw record activity with five hurricanes making landfall in the U.S. The meteorological community continues to refine predictive models, aiming for improved early warnings. NOAA plans to update its seasonal forecast in early August.