Jack Draper to Face Tommy Paul in Madrid Open Showdown

Indian Wells, CA – Jack Draper, the 2025 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Champion, celebrated his victory by posing with the trophy after winning the event on March 16. Now, Draper prepares to face Tommy Paul in the Round of 16 at the ATP Madrid Open this Thursday.

Both players received first-round byes. Draper, the fifth seed, advanced after defeating Tallon Griekspoor in straight sets, then benefited from a walkover when Matteo Berrettini retired due to an abdominal injury. Paul, seeded 11th, also secured his spot in the Round of 16 by defeating Joao Fonseca before edging out Karen Khachanov in a tough three-setter.

Draper holds a slight edge in their rivalry with a 3-2 head-to-head record. Their first meeting took place during the 2023 Adelaide 2 tournament, where Draper won in straight sets. He also defeated Paul at the Adelaide International in early 2024. However, Paul avenged those losses with a victory at the 2024 Australian Open. The two have continued to trade wins, with Draper winning in Acapulco and Paul retaliating with a hard-fought win at Queen’s Club.

Heading into the matchup, Draper is riding high on a hot streak after winning his first ATP Masters 1000 title at Indian Wells, where he bested prominent players like Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz. His left-handed serve and baseline prowess make him formidable on any surface.

Paul, known for his consistency and footwork, has quietly gained momentum, with a quarterfinal finish at the Australian Open and semifinals in Dallas and Houston. His all-court game complements Draper’s explosive style, promising a tightly contested battle.

Experts predict Draper to have a 55% chance of winning against Paul, based on 10,000 simulations from data-driven analyses. Current odds reflect Draper at $1.53 while Paul stands at $2.50 for Thursday’s match.