UConn vs. Dayton: Predictions, Odds, and Key Matchup Insights

The highly anticipated matchup between the No. 2 UConn Huskies and the Dayton Flyers is set to take place on Thursday, November 28, 2024, at the Lahaina Civic Center in Lahaina, Hawaii, and will be broadcast on ESPN2.

UConn, currently holding a 4-2 record, enters the game as a 7-point favorite against the 5-2 Dayton Flyers. The point total for the game is set at 148 points. Despite their favorable odds, UConn has been struggling in their recent games in Hawaii, having lost both matches in the tournament so far, including a narrow loss to Colorado on Tuesday.

Offensively, UConn is one of the top teams in the country, averaging 90.4 points per game on 52.2% shooting from the floor. However, their defense has been inconsistent in Hawaii, allowing significantly more points than their season average of 60.6 points per game.

Dayton, with a 5-2 record, has shown strong offensive and defensive performances. They average 79.2 points per game on 47.6% shooting and allow 65.3 points per game. In their recent game against Iowa State, Dayton scored 84 points but lost due to turnovers and foul trouble.

Predictions for the game vary. One analysis suggests that Dayton could pull off an upset, predicting a final score of Dayton 76, UConn 75, and recommending the over on the total points. Another prediction favors UConn, suggesting they will win and cover with a final score of 85-62. A third perspective leans towards Dayton, citing UConn’s defensive struggles and predicting a close game with Dayton winning 81-79.

In terms of betting trends, UConn has a 75.6% implied probability of winning based on the moneyline, while Dayton has a 28.6% chance. UConn has covered the spread twice this season when favored by at least 7 points, while Dayton has covered the spread in all their games as 7-point underdogs.