Bitcoin Price Data Predicts Major Bull Run by Late 2025

NEW YORK, NY — On-chain metrics are hinting at a significant Bitcoin price rally in late 2025. Current data reveals strong support around $113,000, suggesting Bitcoin could surge to as high as $200,000 by the end of next year.

Recent analyses indicate that the Short-Term Holder (STH) realized price, an essential marker for new investors, sits near $113,000. This level has historically been viewed as a critical zone for both support and resistance within Bitcoin’s market cycles. Analysts note that previous market rallies have been favored when Bitcoin trades above this level.

“When Bitcoin stays above the short-term holder realized price, it indicates the average newer buyer is breakeven or slightly profitable, which boosts investor confidence,” said a cryptocurrency analyst. “If Bitcoin can maintain this support, it could lay the groundwork for a bullish phase moving forward.”

The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio further supports this forecast. This mechanism helps identify whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued. Historically, Bitcoin tends to stabilize around a ratio of 0.66 during downturns, a favorable accumulation phase. Conversely, resistance has been known to form at levels 1.33, 1.43, and 1.64, which correspond to certain profit-taking points.

By using the current STH realized price combined with these MVRV ratios, projections indicate potential resistance zones at approximately $160,000, $170,000, and up to $200,000. “These levels strongly correlate with previous resistance points, suggesting that if Bitcoin maintains its current support, we might see a price ceiling in this broader range,” explained another analyst.

Moreover, the Long-Term Holder (LTH) MVRV ratio, which indicates unrealized gains or losses for seasoned investors, could also play a role. Past bull runs indicate that this ratio peaked significantly lower in 2021 than in 2017. If a similar trend follows, estimates suggest a peak between $163,000 and $165,000 is possible.

The evolving landscape of Bitcoin and its market strategies appear to be responding to institutional interests, pushing corporate adoption to new heights. Publicly traded companies now hold over $110 billion in Bitcoin, with major players continuing their Bitcoin accumulation strategies despite market fluctuations.

As institutional interest continues to grow, Bitcoin could be on the verge of a dramatic price increase fueled by renewed liquidity from macroeconomic changes. With all these signals pointing towards a potential rally, many investors remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s future.