De Minaur Faces Carabelli in Shanghai Masters Second Round

Shanghai, China — Seventh seed Alex de Minaur will take on unseeded Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the second round of the Shanghai Masters on October 4, 2025. De Minaur received a bye in the first round, while Carabelli advanced after Terence Atmance retired due to heat stress.

De Minaur enters this match following a semifinal finish in Beijing, where he lost to Jannik Sinner. The Australian has had a robust season, highlighted by a title win in Washington and runner-up finishes in Rotterdam, among other deep runs. Despite his successes, he has encountered some inconsistency, with several exits occurring before the third round in various tournaments.

On the statistics front, de Minaur has recorded 243 aces this season, winning 74% of his first serve points and converting 44% of his break-point opportunities. His resilience and experience in high-stakes matches make him a strong contender in the upcoming face-off.

Carabelli, meanwhile, enjoys a breakout season, recently achieving a career-high ranking of No. 43. He reached the semifinals in several tournaments, including Rio and Turin, yet has struggled with injuries that have led to retirements in competition. Despite this, he managed to advance past Atmance, albeit under unfortunate circumstances.

As for their head-to-head record, this match will mark the first encounter between de Minaur and Carabelli on the ATP tour. Given de Minaur’s current form and ranking, bookmakers favor him significantly, setting his odds at -2000 compared to Carabelli’s +1260.

Expectations are high for de Minaur, who aims to build on his recent performances and secure a comfortable win against the rising Argentine.