Chiefs vs. Cowboys: Key Stats Ahead of NFL Matchup

ARLINGTON, Texas — The Kansas City Chiefs (6-5-0) visit AT&T Stadium to play the Dallas Cowboys (5-5-1) on Thursday, November 27, 2025. Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET and the Chiefs are favored by 3 points.

This matchup features a total points over/under of 52, with Chiefs predictions suggesting a 62% chance of victory based on simulations, player health, and matchup histories. Against the spread, the Chiefs hold a 50.5% confidence level to cover the spread.

Key player prop bets for the game include Rashee Rice of the Chiefs with an over/under of 74.5 receiving yards, while CeeDee Lamb of the Cowboys shares the same line. Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs quarterback, is also expected to play a crucial role, with prop bets indicating over/under 21.5 rushing yards.

The Cowboys have shown notable statistics this season, throwing the ball 69% of the time on third and short, the highest rate in the NFL. Conversely, they have the lowest rushing percentage in similar situations at 31%.

On the other hand, the Chiefs have struggled with contested throws, averaging -0.99 expected points added per play—ranking worst in the league. However, they have excelled at running successful plays with 70% efficiency on motion plays since Week 9.

As both teams seek to improve their playoff chances, expect a competitive game with strategic plays on both sides.

The latest information and betting odds will continue to be updated as the kickoff approaches.