Cubs, Kyle Tucker Fail to Reach Arbitration Agreement

The Chicago Cubs and newly acquired outfielder Kyle Tucker failed to reach an agreement on a salary for the 2025 season ahead of Thursday’s arbitration deadline, setting the stage for a potential hearing. The Cubs filed at $15 million, while Tucker’s camp countered with $17.5 million, according to ESPN‘s Jesse Rogers.

The filing of figures is a standard step in the arbitration process and does not preclude the two sides from reaching a deal before a hearing. However, if no agreement is reached, an independent arbitration panel will decide between the two figures, with hearings typically occurring in mid-February.

Tucker, who was acquired from the Houston Astros last month in a blockbuster trade, is entering his final year of arbitration before becoming a free agent in 2026. The Cubs traded third baseman Isaac Paredes, right-handed pitcher Hayden Wesneski, and infield prospect Cam Smith to Houston in exchange for Tucker, signaling their belief in his ability to transform their offense.

Over the past four seasons, Tucker has established himself as one of baseball’s premier outfielders, hitting 112 home runs with 360 RBI and slashing .280/.362/.527 (.889 OPS). His 19.1 fWAR during that span underscores his value, though a fractured shin limited his 2024 campaign to 23 home runs and 49 RBI in just 89 games.

The arbitration gap reflects the challenges of negotiating with a player so close to free agency. Tucker’s camp is likely eyeing a long-term deal comparable to recent megacontracts, such as Juan Soto‘s 15-year, $765 million deal with the New York Mets. While Tucker may not command that level, his production suggests a potential contract in the $300 million range.

The Cubs had four arbitration-eligible players this offseason, reaching agreements with two. Right-handed reliever Eli Morgan was the last player to settle, leaving Tucker as the lone unresolved case. The team’s file-and-trial approach, which typically avoids mid-arbitration negotiations, could complicate efforts to secure a long-term extension with Tucker.

Despite the arbitration dispute, Tucker is expected to be a key contributor for the Cubs in 2025. His arrival bolsters an outfield that struggled offensively last season, and his ability to hit for power and average makes him a cornerstone of the team’s lineup.

The Cubs and Tucker’s representatives have until the hearing date to negotiate a settlement. However, the failure to reach an agreement before the deadline raises questions about the team’s long-term plans for the star outfielder, especially as he approaches free agency.