FA Cup Loses Magic but Remains Significant for Big Clubs

By LONDON, England – As the FA Cup approaches its next round, the debate regarding its relevance in the modern era continues. While some argue that the competition has lost its luster, recent statistics suggest that it remains significant for top clubs.

Analyses of every FA Cup since 1960 reveal that the number of upsets has varied, with an average shock percentage of around 23 percent across decades. While there’s been a slight decline in the last two decades, the capacity for surprises persists. For instance, the 2022-2023 season saw a notable seven shocks from 25 matches, reflecting ongoing competitiveness.

Interestingly, most non-traditional winners have emerged from the lower leagues. Since the 2000s, only three non-big-six clubs have lifted the trophy, highlighting the increasing dominance of top-flight teams. Arsenal, Chelsea, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United, and Tottenham Hotspur have accounted for the vast majority of victories.

The drop in shock victories has been attributed to a combination of factors, including the uneven financial landscape between top and lower division teams. Data shows that lower league teams beat top-flight opponents 12 times between 2010 and 2025, compared to just four instances from 1995 to 2009.

Moreover, the traditional Saturday 3 p.m. kick-off time for FA Cup matches has dramatically decreased, which many argue diminishes the magic of the competition. Fewer than 15 such kick-offs occurred this season, primarily due to the increasing emphasis on televised matches, which has become a significant revenue driver.

Despite these changes, big clubs take the FA Cup seriously. Since 2000, they have dominated the tournament, which presents a challenge for lower-league clubs attempting to make a mark. The last side from outside the top 10 to win was Wigan Athletic in 2013, underscoring the difficulty for underdogs.

Historically, clubs have rotated players heavily, reflecting the competition’s challenging nature. The inception of the league rotation era dates back to when Preston’s ‘Invincibles’ achieved a double in 1888-1889 yet fielded different goalkeepers in league and cup competitions.

Ultimately, while some traditions have faded, the FA Cup remains a pinnacle of English football, drawing participation and commitment from top clubs. Its ability to surprise and provide moments of glory for lower-tier teams persists in the hearts of fans.