Gabriel Diallo Aims for Victory Against Marcos Giron at Italian Open

ROME, Italy — Gabriel Diallo will face Marcos Giron in the first round of the ATP Italian Open on Thursday, May 8, 2025. Diallo, a Canadian tennis player, recently made headlines with a remarkable performance at the Madrid Open, reaching the quarter-finals as a lucky loser.

Diallo’s impressive run in Madrid included four consecutive victories, showcasing his skills by coming from behind to defeat Grigor Dimitrov. He ultimately fell to Lorenzo Musetti in the quarter-finals, but his momentum has set high expectations for his upcoming match against Giron.

Marcos Giron, an American player, has struggled on clay this season, having lost in the second round of his last two tournaments, including a recent match at the Madrid Open. His performance has not inspired confidence, leading analysts to favor Diallo in this matchup.

Statistical models project that Diallo has a 55% chance of winning the match against Giron, thanks to his recent form. Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn noted, “We simulated Thursday’s Diallo-Giron match 10,000 times and found Diallo has a slight edge.” Diallo is also expected to win the first set with a probability of 54%.

The match is scheduled to begin at 10:15 AM ET, and Diallo aims to capitalize on his positive trajectory as he seeks another victory. While Giron has fallen short in his past outings, Diallo is riding a wave of confidence from his success at the Madrid Open.

Expert predictions suggest Diallo will win in a close contest, possibly clinching the match in three sets.