Goffin and Muller Set for Thrilling Madrid Open Showdown

Madrid, Spain – David Goffin and Alexandre Muller are set to clash in the first round of the ATP Madrid Open on Thursday, April 24, 2025, at 5:00 AM ET. Dimers’ advanced tennis model forecasts a closely contested match with Muller having a slight edge.

According to data analyst Greg Butyn, simulations of the match were run 10,000 times, yielding a win probability of 52% for Muller and 48% for Goffin. “This matchup is expected to be tight, especially considering both players have an equal chance of winning the first set at 50%,” Butyn stated.

The latest betting odds reflect this forecast, with Goffin listed at +110 on the moneyline and Muller at -139. Earlier this month, Muller reached the first round after defeating Nishesh Basavareddy and Kamil Majchrzak. Meanwhile, Goffin is looking to rebound after last year’s second-round exit at the same event.

Both players have shown promising forms this season. Goffin has a solid record while Muller, ranked no. 114, has consistently improved, with notable performances on clay surfaces. Their match will mark the first encounter on the main tour between the two players.

The prediction by Tennis Tonic favors Muller to win in two sets, consistent with the statistical analysis. Fans can expect an exciting match as these two competitors battle for a spot in the next round of the prestigious tournament.

For those interested in betting on the match, all odds are accurate as of the publication time and might change closer to the match start. Bet responsibly and for any gambling issues, call 1-800-GAMBLER for support.