Sports
Jessica Pegula Faces Eva Lys in WTA Madrid Showdown

Madrid, Spain — Jessica Pegula is set to face Eva Lys in the second round of the WTA Madrid Open on Friday, April 25, at 1:00 PM ET. Ranked third in the world, Pegula enters this match as a strong favorite, boasting an 84% chance of winning according to a simulation by Dimers, a sports analytics company.
Dimers’ analyst Greg Butyn revealed insights from their predictive model, stating, “After simulating the match 10,000 times, we predict Pegula will likely win with a probability of 84%, while Lys’s chances stand at 16%.” Pegula’s performance has been impressive this season, with a total record of 26-7 and a solid 6-1 on clay courts.
Pegula’s most recent match was in Stuttgart, where she was eliminated in the quarterfinals by Ekaterina Alexandrova. Despite this recent loss, she has won titles in both Austin and Charleston earlier this year. Her ability on clay has improved significantly, having captured her first title on that surface in Charleston just weeks ago.
In contrast, Eva Lys, currently ranked 68th, has had a mixed season with a win-loss record of 13-10. She advanced to the second round in Madrid after a decisive victory over Teodora Kostovic, winning in straight sets, 6-2, 6-2. Lys’s performance in Stuttgart was less favorable, where she lost in the opening round.
This matchup marks the first meeting between Pegula and Lys on the WTA Tour, which adds a layer of intrigue to the match. Pegula’s recent form and historical performance in Madrid make her the clear favorite, placing weight on her prediction to win in straight sets.
The match will be played on the clay courts of La Caja Magica, a unique venue known for its fast-paced conditions that can benefit players with strong serves and aggressive play.