Jiri Lehecka Favored Over Alexandre Muller in ATP Rome Matchup

ROME, Italy — Jiri Lehecka will face Alexandre Muller in the first round at the ATP Italian Open on Wednesday, May 7, 2025, at 5:00 AM ET. Dimers’ tennis model predicts Lehecka has a 59% chance of winning, with Muller at 41%.

“We have simulated the outcome of Wednesday’s Lehecka-Muller match 10,000 times,” said Greg Butyn, a data analyst at Dimers. “This gives us confidence in Lehecka’s odds against Muller, despite both players having recent struggles on the court.”

Lehecka, who has lost four of his last five matches, recently exited Madrid in the first round against Cameron Norrie. He suffered a similar fate at his only previous appearance in Rome last year. In contrast, Muller has lost three of his past five matches, including a defeat to Frances Tiafoe last week in Madrid.

Despite these losses, bookies mark Lehecka as the slight favorite. He has previously won both head-to-head meetings with Muller in straight sets. The odds for this match currently sit at Lehecka -200 and Muller +162 for the moneyline.

In addition to the moneyline, Lehecka is also favored to win the first set, with odds standing at -175. As the tournament progresses, fans are eager to see if Lehecka can regain his form and advance further.

For more detailed insights and betting options, Dimers recommends visiting their interactive predictions page. Expert analysis suggests Lehecka could be a solid bet to win this match-up.

This match marks a crucial moment for both players, especially as the clay season continues. As the ATP Italian Open unfolds, all eyes will be on Lehecka to see if he can reaffirm his standing on the tour.