Keys vs. Bronzetti: Anticipation Builds for Madrid Open Clash

Madrid, Spain — Madison Keys is set to face Lucia Bronzetti in the second round of the WTA Madrid Open on Thursday, April 24, at 5:00 PM ET. This matchup marks their third meeting on the international tennis circuit.

According to simulations by Dimers, Keys holds a significant advantage with an 80% probability of winning against Bronzetti. “Using the latest data, we simulated Thursday’s Keys-Bronzetti match 10,000 times,” said Greg Butyn, a data analyst with Dimers. “Madison Keys emerged as the clear favorite based on performance metrics and recent statistics.”

Keys, ranked No. 5 globally, boasts an impressive 20-4 record for the year, including a 1-1 performance on clay. Her impressive run this season saw her winning the Australian Open title. She faced a setback earlier this month in Charleston, losing in the third round.

In contrast, Lucia Bronzetti, currently ranked No. 59, secured her spot in this round after defeating former world No. 1 Naomi Osaka in a tightly contested match, finishing 6-4, 2-6, 6-4. Bronzetti’s overall record for the year stands at 10-11, with a 1-2 record on clay.

This match will take place at Arantxa Sanchez Stadium, and it will be crucial for Keys as she looks to maintain her high ranking in the WTA standings. The last time these players faced each other was in Auckland in 2024, where Keys won decisively in straight sets.

The winner of this match will advance further in the prestigious $8,403,780 tournament, strengthening their positions on the WTA tour.