Khachanov Favored to Beat McDonald in Wimbledon Opening Match

WIMBLEDON, England — In an exciting first-round matchup at Wimbledon 2025, Mackenzie McDonald is set to face Karen Khachanov on Monday, June 30, at 10:20 AM ET on Court No. 18.

Khachanov, currently ranked No. 20, comes into the match as a favorite with a 74% probability of winning, according to Dimers‘ predictive model. This prediction results from 10,000 simulations that took into account various match data and player performances.

“We have utilized the latest data to simulate Monday’s McDonald-Khachanov match,” said Greg Butyn, a data analyst at Dimers. “The simulation predicts Khachanov is likely to win, with a probability of 74% compared to McDonald’s 26%.”

Khachanov has showed strong form on grass courts this season, holding a 6-2 record and reaching the semifinals at Halle and the quarterfinals at Hertogenbosch. He also defeated Novak Djokovic in straight sets during a recent exhibition, boosting his confidence.

“I’m really looking forward to this match,” Khachanov stated. “I feel ready and have been performing well on grass, which I really enjoy.”

Mackenzie McDonald, ranked No. 88, is returning from injury and is looking to prove himself at this Grand Slam. He has a record of 6-4 on grass this year and will be aiming to reverse his previous losses against Khachanov, who leads their head-to-head meetings 5-0.

“It’s a tough matchup, but I believe in my game,” McDonald said. “I’m ready to give it my all and see how it goes.”

In terms of betting odds, Khachanov is favored at -400, while McDonald is at +300, reflecting the betting community’s confidence in the Russian player’s capabilities. All odds are subject to change.

The upcoming match is sure to attract considerable attention as both players aim to advance in the tournament.