Kudermetova Favored to Defeat Mateas in WTA Charleston Matchup

CHARLESTON, S.C. — Veronika Kudermetova is set to face Maria Mateas in the first round of the WTA Charleston Open on Monday, March 31, at 1:45 p.m. ET. Sports analysts predict a high likelihood of a Kudermetova victory, with advanced simulations indicating an 87% probability of her winning the match.

According to Greg Butyn, a data analyst at Dimers, the latest tennis simulations show that Kudermetova, currently ranked 56th worldwide, has been performing strongly. “We have utilized the latest data to simulate Monday’s Mateas-Kudermetova match 10,000 times,” Butyn explained. “Our prediction shows Veronika as the likely winner with an 87% chance, compared to Maria’s 13%.”

Kudermetova enters this tournament with a record of 13 wins and 8 losses in 2025, aiming to build on her prior performance after a disappointing first-round exit at the Miami Open earlier this month. Despite being new to the clay surface this season, she boasts a solid 60-40 career record on clay.

Maria Mateas, ranked 69th, will look to upset the odds. Mateas has a 5-6 record this season. She also faced early elimination in Miami, falling in qualifying rounds earlier this month. Mateas aims to make a mark in the Charleston Open, hoping for an upset against the higher-ranked Kudermetova.

Dimers also provides insights into the betting lines for this match. Currently, the odds position Kudermetova as the significant favorite. The moneyline odds are set at +550 for Mateas and -909 for Kudermetova, indicating the high expectation for Kudermetova’s win.

For bettors interested in making informed decisions, Dimers has further breakdowns on the match’s best bets. The site highlights that Kudermetova has an 81% probability of winning the first set, making this match a focal point for fans and bettors alike.

As part of the increasing engagement in sports betting, Dimers emphasizes responsible gaming, advising bettors to know their limits. They remind bettors not to wager more than they can afford to lose and to consider seeking help at 1-800-GAMBLER if they face gambling challenges.

The Charleston Open is set to be a pivotal moment for both players, with significant implications for their rankings and momentum heading into the clay season.