Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green: MAC Championship Berth on the Line in Black Friday Showdown

The highly anticipated Black Friday matchup between the Miami (OH) RedHawks and the Bowling Green Falcons is set to determine which team will advance to the MAC Championship Game. Both teams, each with a 7-4 overall record and 6-1 in conference play, will face off at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, Ohio, on November 29, 2024.

The game, scheduled for noon ET and broadcast on ESPNU, promises to be a closely contested battle. According to the College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter, Bowling Green has a slight edge, with a 53.8% chance of winning compared to Miami (OH)’s 46.2%. The betting odds also favor the Falcons, with a spread of -2.5 and a moneyline of -125 for Bowling Green and +105 for Miami (OH).

The weather conditions at kickoff are expected to be challenging, with temperatures around 32 degrees, windy conditions, and a few snow flurries. This could make a strong ground game crucial, and both teams are well-prepared in this aspect. Miami (OH) boasts the fourth-best rushing yards per carry in the MAC, led by running back Keyon Mozee, while Bowling Green averages 152.82 rushing yards per game and has a two-headed backfield featuring Terion Stewart and Jaison Patterson.

In terms of red zone efficiency, Bowling Green holds a significant advantage. The Falcons have allowed touchdowns on just 45.16% of opponent red zone visits, while Miami (OH) has given up touchdowns on 58.62% of such visits. On offense, Bowling Green has been more efficient in the red zone, converting a higher percentage of their opportunities into touchdowns compared to the RedHawks.

The prediction from College Football Network suggests a tight game, with Bowling Green expected to win 23-21. This outcome would see the Falcons advancing to the MAC Championship Game, while Miami (OH) would need to hope for losses by Ohio and Buffalo to have any chance of making it to the championship.