Penn State vs. Purdue: Odds, Predictions, and How to Watch Week 12 College Football

The No. 5 Penn State Nittany Lions, boasting a strong 8-1 record and a 5-1 mark in the Big Ten, are set to face off against the struggling Purdue Boilermakers (1-8, 0-6) on Saturday, November 16. The game will be hosted at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Indiana, with kickoff scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and will be broadcast live on CBS and streamed on Paramount+.

Penn State, fresh from a dominant 35-6 victory over Washington, remains a strong contender for the College Football Playoff. The Nittany Lions’ lone loss this season came at the hands of No. 2 Ohio State. Quarterback Drew Allar has been instrumental in Penn State’s success, completing 71.4% of his passes in the last game and forming a potent combination with receiver Harrison Wallace III and running back Kaytron Allen[3][4][5].

Purdue, on the other hand, has had a dismal season, with their last win coming in Week 1 against Indiana State. The Boilermakers were recently shut out 45-0 by Ohio State. Despite their struggles, Purdue has shown the ability to keep games close, particularly in overtime losses against Illinois and Washington. The Boilermakers will need a strong performance from quarterback Ryan Browne, who threw for 297 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions against Illinois, if they hope to cover the spread[3][4][5].

The betting odds heavily favor Penn State, with the Nittany Lions listed as 29.5-point favorites. The over/under for total points scored is set at 51.5. Penn State’s moneyline is -9091, while Purdue’s is +1988. The SportsLine Projection Model, which has a strong track record of generating betting profits, suggests that the under on the total points and one side of the spread will hit in well over 50% of simulations[3][5].

Despite the significant odds against them, Purdue has a history of pulling off upsets, earning the nickname “Spoilermakers” with 17 wins over top-five teams. However, the current season’s performance suggests that a full-blown upset is unlikely, with predictions leaning towards Penn State winning but possibly not covering the large spread[5].