Phillies and Mets Set for Crucial Game 3 in 2024 NLDS

The 2024 National League Division Series between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies shifts to Citi Field in New York for Game 3 on Tuesday. The series is currently tied at one game apiece, with the Mets claiming victory in Game 1 and the Phillies securing a win in Game 2, thanks to a walk-off hit from Nick Castellanos.

Tuesday’s matchup will see Aaron Nola taking the mound for the Phillies. Nola, who has had a strong season with 14 wins and an ERA of 3.57, is known for his stellar performance at Citi Field earlier this year. On May 14, Nola pitched a complete game shutout at this venue, allowing only four hits and striking out eight batters.

Opposing Nola will be Sean Manaea for the Mets. Manaea boasts a 12-6 record with a 3.47 ERA and has been particularly effective at home, holding opponents to a batting average of .195 at Citi Field. He also had a strong performance against the Phillies just two weeks ago, pitching seven innings and giving up three earned runs while securing the win.

Both teams have made adjustments to their lineups following Game 2. The Mets have introduced Jesse Winker as their designated hitter, while the Phillies have added Austin Hays to left field. The game is set to begin at 5:08 p.m. ET, with the Phillies being slight favorites per the latest betting odds.

Offensively, the Phillies carry momentum from key players such as Bryce Harper, who has been reaching base consistently this series, and Kyle Schwarber, who is renowned for his postseason prowess. Schwarber’s 21 career home runs in the playoffs rank fourth in MLB history for October performances.

The SportsLine Projection Model, which has a significant positive track record in predicting MLB outcomes, suggests that this game will likely see a combined total of over nine runs. It provides insight into which side of the money line may hold value, though specifics were not disclosed.