Sonego Favored Over Wawrinka in Australian Open Clash

MELBOURNE, Australia — Lorenzo Sonego is predicted to defeat Stan Wawrinka in the first round of the Australian Open Men’s Singles 2025, according to advanced simulations by Dimers, a sports analytics platform. The match is scheduled for Tuesday at 12:25 a.m. ET.

Dimers’ data analyst Greg Butyn revealed that the platform conducted 10,000 simulations of the match, factoring in recent performance updates and other variables. “Our model gives Sonego a 64% chance of winning, compared to Wawrinka’s 36%,” Butyn said. Sonego also holds a 58% probability of winning the first set.

The betting odds reflect the simulation results, with Sonego listed at -250 on the moneyline and -175 to win the first set. Wawrinka, a three-time Grand Slam champion, is the underdog at +200 on the moneyline and +137 for the first set.

Dimers’ predictive model, which leverages machine learning and data analysis, has become a trusted resource for tennis enthusiasts and bettors. The platform covers over 22,000 events annually and boasts a community of more than 70,000 followers on social media.

For those looking to place bets, Dimers recommends focusing on the moneyline, where their model identifies the strongest edge. The platform also offers exclusive insights and predictions for major tournaments throughout the year.

As the Australian Open kicks off, all eyes will be on this high-stakes matchup between Sonego, the rising Italian star, and Wawrinka, the seasoned Swiss veteran. The outcome could set the tone for the rest of the tournament.