Djokovic, Musetti Face Off in High-Stakes Miami Open Showdown

MIAMI, Fla. — In a highly anticipated clash, World No. 5 Novak Djokovic will confront No. 16 Lorenzo Musetti in the Round of 16 at the ATP Miami Open on Tuesday, March 25, 2025, at 3:10 PM ET. Both players are eager to build on their recent successes, setting the stage for an electrifying encounter.

Djokovic enters the match fresh off a convincing straight-sets victory over Camilo Ugo Carabelli, winning 6-1, 7-6. With this win, Djokovic celebrated his 410th career victory at ATP Masters 1000 events, surpassing Rafael Nadal‘s historic record. Despite earlier struggles this year due to injury, his performance against Carabelli signals a return to form.

Musetti’s road to the Round of 16 has been equally impressive, as he outlasted Felix Auger-Aliassime and Quentin Halys in closely contested three-set matches. His triumph over Halys featured a comeback win, clinching it with scores of 3-6, 7-6, 7-5, while he defeated Auger-Aliassime with a 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 scoreline, demonstrating his relentless determination and adaptability.

Historically, Djokovic holds a substantial advantage in their head-to-head meetings, leading 7-1. The Serbian has dominated their last four encounters, including significant matches at prestigious tournaments such as Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and the Paris Olympics last year. Musetti’s only victory against Djokovic occurred at the 2023 Monte-Carlo Masters, where he staged a remarkable comeback.

According to Dimers, Djokovic has a 72% probability of winning, with the model predicting a 68% chance the Serbian will take the first set against Musetti. Conversely, Musetti’s victory likelihood is estimated at 28%, underscoring the challenge ahead.

Both players’ recent performance statistics reveal interesting contrasts. Djokovic boasts an impressive 86.3% winning percentage in service games on hard courts, while Musetti stands at 76.8%. However, Musetti’s return game has been less successful, converting only 24.5% of his return games successfully over the past year.

As the fourth round approaches, fans and analysts are keenly debating the implications of this match. For Djokovic, a victory would inch him closer to a potential fifth Miami Open title and his 100th overall tour title, further solidifying his legacy in tennis history.

The stakes also rise with each player’s next potential opponent. The winner will face either Sebastian Korda, seeded No. 24, or unseeded Gael Monfils, adding more pressure to advance. Betting odds reflect the general consensus, currently favoring Djokovic at -333 against Musetti’s +250, with the set odds also leaning toward Djokovic.

As match day draws nearer, all eyes will be on the court to see how the clash unfolds. A win for Djokovic would reinforce his dominance; meanwhile, Musetti will seek to disrupt the narrative and prove his mettle against one of tennis’ greatest.

Fans can watch the match live on the Tennis Channel and various streaming platforms starting at 3:10 PM ET.