Holger Rune Favored to Win Against Matteo Arnaldi in Paris Masters

Holger Rune, the 2022 Paris Masters champion, is set to face Matteo Arnaldi in the first round of the Rolex Paris Masters on Tuesday, October 29. This match marks the first encounter between the two players on the ATP Tour.

Rune, currently ranked No. 13, enters the tournament with a strong record in 2024, having won 41 matches and lost 22. He has a particularly impressive record on indoor hard courts, with a 6-3 win-loss record this year and an overall 64-25 record in his career on this surface.

The Danish player is coming off a semifinal loss to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in Basel, but his recent form and past success in Paris make him the clear favorite to win. Rune won the Paris Masters in 2022 with a remarkable run that included victories over Hubert Hurkacz, Andrey Rublev, Carlos Alcaraz, Felix Auger-Aliassime, and a thrilling final against Novak Djokovic.

Matteo Arnaldi, ranked No. 38, has had a mixed year on the ATP Tour. Despite reaching the third round of the US Open, his recent form has been inconsistent, with more losses than victories in his last few tournaments. Arnaldi’s last few matches have gone to three sets, but he has not managed to secure many wins, which does not bode well for his chances against Rune.

Predictions from various tennis analysts suggest that Rune is likely to win the match in two sets, given his superior form and experience on the court.