Khachanov Faces Struff in ATP Almaty Round of 16 Showdown

ALMATY, Kazakhstan — Karen Khachanov is set to take on Jan-Lennard Struff in the round of 16 at the ATP Almaty tournament on Thursday at 10:00 AM ET. This match is crucial for Khachanov, who is looking to defend his title and improve his ranking as he is currently positioned ninth in the world.

According to simulations by Dimers’ advanced tennis model, Khachanov has a 70% chance of winning against Struff. The predictive model also indicates a 67% chance that Khachanov will take the first set. His ability to cover the games spread at -2.5 is estimated at 53%, while the under 23.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, making him the favorite for bettors.

The latest betting odds reflect this prediction, with Khachanov set at -225 on the moneyline and -200 for the first set, while Struff stands at +200 and +162, respectively. The game spread is also tight, with Khachanov at -102 and Struff at -132.

With a 28-19 record this season, Khachanov aims to build on last year’s championship run at this venue. His recent performance includes a significant win against Alexander Zverev in Shanghai, where he saved a match point. Struff, on the other hand, holds an 18-25 record and comes into the match following an impressive victory against Frances Tiafoe at the US Open.

Khachanov has expressed his determination, stating, “I’m after history,” which echoes the excitement among the fans. His average rally length of 4.8 shots demonstrates his endurance, while he converts 40% of return points, utilizing the speedy conditions of Almaty.

Struff, ranked 98th globally, showcases a serve-oriented style with a powerful forehand and averages 7.3 aces per match. His recent resurgence post-Munich title puts him in a position to challenge Khachanov, despite being the underdog. Struff emphasized his readiness in a tweet saying, “Ready to roar!” ahead of the match.

The head-to-head between the two players favors Khachanov, who leads 4-2. Their encounters have often been closely contested, including a previous match that ended in a tiebreaker. Khachanov’s 70% point win on wide serves gives him a slight edge, making this highly anticipated clash a potential highlight of the tournament.

As excitement builds at the Almaty Arena, fans can expect a thrilling encounter that combines Khachanov’s precision with Struff’s explosive serves, making the outcome uncertain. Betting odds and predictions indicate a vibrant competition ahead.