Severe Tropical Storm Bheki Threatens Mascarene Islands in the Indian Ocean

As of November 19, 2024, Severe Tropical Storm Bheki is tracking south-southwestward in the western Indian Ocean, posing a significant threat to the Mascarene Islands. The storm’s center of circulation is approximately 1,045 km (649 miles) east of Port Louis, Mauritius, according to the latest updates.

Forecast models indicate that Bheki will weaken slightly as it continues on its south-southwestward trajectory, passing to the north of Rodrigues Island, Mauritius, early on November 20. The storm is expected to weaken into a moderate tropical storm and then track southwestward, passing just south of Mauritius’ main island early on November 21 and then southeast of Reunion later that day. By November 22, Bheki is forecasted to weaken further into a tropical depression and eventually a zone of disturbed weather as it moves away from the Mascarene Islands.

The Mauritius Meteorological Service has issued a class three cyclone warning for Rodrigues Island and a class one warning for Mauritius Island. Residents are advised to prepare for intensified winds and rainfall, as well as rough seas. The storm could trigger flooding in low-lying areas, localized evacuations, flash flooding, and landslides. Additionally, there is a risk of business, transport, and utility disruptions, including flight disruptions and temporary port closures.

Health officials are warning of potential increases in insect- and waterborne diseases such as dengue fever, cholera, and malaria due to stagnant pools of water and contaminated floodwaters. Residents are advised to stockpile essentials, charge battery-powered devices, and take precautions against these health threats.

Officials recommend activating contingency plans, heeding evacuation orders, and exercising extreme caution in low-lying coastal areas and near waterways due to the potential for severe flooding and storm surges).