NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings Released for 2025 Season

CHICAGO, IL — The NFL has released its strength of schedule rankings for the 2025 season, with the San Francisco 49ers having the easiest path ahead. This ranking is based on projected win totals from Las Vegas oddsmakers.

The 49ers top the list, expected to win 10.5 games. They are followed by the New England Patriots, projected at 7.5 wins, and the New Orleans Saints with a forecast of 6.5 wins. Other teams with favorable schedules include the Atlanta Falcons and the Buffalo Bills, who are set at 7.5 and 11.5 wins respectively.

In contrast, the New York Giants face the toughest road, with a projected win total of just 5.5 games. They are joined by the Cleveland Browns, Detroit Lions, Philadelphia Eagles, and Minnesota Vikings as teams with the most challenging schedules.

According to the rankings, the Giants’ struggles are significantly highlighted by their placement at the bottom of the schedule rankings, illustrating an uphill battle for the upcoming season.

A detailed analysis of the full 2025 schedule reveals the rankings from easiest (#1) to hardest (#32) for each NFL team, including the corresponding Vegas win totals:

1. San Francisco 49ers – 10.5 wins
2. New England Patriots – 7.5 wins
3. New Orleans Saints – 6.5 wins
4. Atlanta Falcons – 7.5 wins
5. Buffalo Bills – 11.5 wins…

Warren Sharp‘s strength of schedule model is noted for being more accurate than traditional metrics based on previous season records. It incorporates factors like offseason changes, player injuries, and coaching adjustments which are more indicative of future performance.

While no strength of schedule metric is flawless, Sharp’s approach aims to provide insight into how teams might perform in the upcoming season.

As teams prepare for the 2025 season, understanding these rankings will be crucial for fans and analysts alike, especially with several teams looking to improve their standings from last year.