Kevin McCarthy Predicts Donald Trump’s Chances in 2024 Election

Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has shared his insights on the 2024 presidential election, suggesting that former President Donald Trump is in a strong position. In an appearance on CNBC‘s ‘Squawk Box,’ McCarthy discussed the current landscape of the election and highlighted key factors that could influence the outcome.

McCarthy pointed out that Trump is leading in five of the seven battleground states, according to the RealClearPolitics average, although these leads are within the margin of error. He also noted that polling bias against Trump, which was observed in previous elections, may not have been fully corrected. This, combined with early voting returns, particularly in Pennsylvania, suggests that Trump might have an advantage. For instance, Democratic early votes in Pennsylvania are currently at 412,000, which is short of the 415,000 to 420,000 votes analysts believe Democrats would need to feel comfortable.

In another appearance, McCarthy discussed the unpredictability of the election but emphasized that if Trump wins certain key states, it could significantly impact the overall outcome. He mentioned that Trump’s message of fixing issues, as opposed to creating them, is resonating with voters.

McCarthy’s comments come as part of broader discussions on the dynamics of power within Congress and the key aspects to monitor on election night. His analysis underscores the tight and competitive nature of the 2024 presidential election.