Philippine Power Struggle Intensifies After Midterm Elections

MANILA, Philippines — The political rivalry between President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. and Vice President Sara Duterte escalated after a tumultuous midterm election. The two leaders, who previously formed a powerful alliance, are now at odds following accusations of threats and incompetence.

In the recent elections, only six of the 12 winning senators aligned with the Marcos camp. Notably, one senator, Camille Villar, has ties to both factions. In contrast, four senators from the Duterte camp secured seats, indicating a shift in power. The results raise concerns about the authority of the Marcos administration as it enters the last three years of his term.

The relationship began to deteriorate soon after Marcos took office three years ago. Tensions reached a peak with efforts to impeach Duterte, whom Marcos’s allies accuse of undermining his presidency. This impeachment plan is especially significant as it could bar Duterte from public office, thwarting her presidential ambitions for 2028.

Political family dynasties dominate the landscape in the Philippines, especially the Marcoses and Dutertes. The Marcos family has been entrenched in politics for 80 years, and their influence is clear in local elections. Meanwhile, the Dutertes maintain a stronghold in Davao City, where their political lineage has ruled for most of the last four decades.

Political scientist Cleve Arguelles notes that senators in the Philippines are highly attuned to public opinion, which complicates the impeachment process for Marcos. He has struggled to connect with voters, and his administration’s handling of the economy has received criticism.

During a rally in Manila, Sara Duterte emphasized her father’s plight, portraying the extradition of former President Rodrigo Duterte as a national disgrace. Her emotional appeal resonated with many supporters, showing that the Duterte family still possesses considerable public support.

Both sides face challenges, as loyalty among senators can be fickle. The recent midterm election saw the surprise victories of liberal candidates Bam Aquino and Francis Pangilinan, indicating a desire for change beyond the existing political feud.

With the impeachment trial set to begin in July, it remains uncertain how the Marcos administration will navigate the political fallout. Historically, no president or vice president has been successfully impeached in the Philippines, but the stakes have never been higher.