Soler Polls Show Spanberger Leading Earle-Sears in Virginia Governor Race

Richmond, Virginia – Abigail Spanberger, the Democratic candidate for Virginia’s open gubernatorial race, maintains a solid lead over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears, according to the latest polls. With the election still several months away, this contest is drawing national attention as a key indicator of Democratic voter support ahead of the 2026 midterms.

The race has emerged as a critical testing ground for both parties, especially in a state where the margins of victory in recent elections have shrunk. In 2020, Joe Biden won Virginia by 10 points, but Vice President Kamala Harris had a much closer six-point victory in her recent campaign.

Political analysts are closely monitoring this gubernatorial contest, which could shape strategies for upcoming elections nationwide. Spanberger, a former U.S. Congresswoman, is banking on her appeal to moderate voters. Earle-Sears, the current Lieutenant Governor, is expected to rally Republican support as she campaigns for traditional conservative values.

The polls indicate Spanberger’s lead, but both candidates will need to mobilize their bases effectively to secure victory as the election date approaches.