Tropical Storm Gabrielle Forms in Central Atlantic, Could Strengthen

MIAMI, Florida — Tropical Storm Gabrielle has formed in the Central Atlantic and is being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The storm, which developed from a previous tropical depression, is currently bringing winds of up to 45 mph and sits approximately 1,085 miles east of the Leeward Islands. Although it poses no threat to the U.S. as of now, meteorologists predict it could strengthen further by early next week.

As Gabrielle moves northwest, it is expected to remain over open waters for several days. A strong high-pressure system is likely to guide it north and then northwest, keeping it away from land. Even if it becomes a hurricane, forecasters believe it will stay out to sea, potentially affecting areas near Bermuda.

The emergence of Tropical Storm Gabrielle signals an uptick in activity following a notably quiet period in the Atlantic Basin. The climatological peak of the hurricane season occurred on September 10, and NOAA‘s Climate Prediction Center notes that the chances of tropical development are increasing as conditions become more favorable. Currently, around 60% of tropical activity typically happens after September 10.

David Zierden, Florida’s state climatologist, highlighted that September and October often see heightened hurricane activity due to warm sea surface temperatures, which provide ample fuel for cyclones. Jennifer Francis, an atmospheric scientist, echoed these remarks, noting the Gulf and Caribbean waters are currently very warm.

While this season has had six named storms so far, none have made landfall in the U.S., although Tropical Storm Erin impacted North Carolina’s Outer Banks. Last year’s late September and early October saw significant storms, including Hurricane Helene, which caused severe flooding in North Carolina.

In the meantime, the NHC continues to monitor other tropical waves that may develop, reminding residents to stay prepared as conditions can change quickly. They advise people to gather disaster supplies early, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period.